Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.7%
Walsall
25.0%
Draw
18.3%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Walsall
vs
0.72
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).