⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 21CSV

16 Feb 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
54.8%
Schalke 04
24.8%
Draw
20.3%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Schalke 04

vs
1.05

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.2%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).