Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Lyon
21.4%
Draw
29.0%
Rennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Lyon
vs
1.38
Rennes
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
0-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).