Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.1%
Lens
6.7%
Draw
2.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
3.27
Lens
vs
0.38
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS30.5%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
4-0
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
5-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
1-1
3.1%
0-0
2.4%
0-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).