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AHT: 10CSV

29 Apr 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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95.3%
Barcelona
3.4%
Draw
1.2%
Granada

Expected Goals (xG)

4.68

Barcelona

vs
0.61

Granada

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.589.7%
Over 3.577.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
10.2%
5-0
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-1
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
1-0
2.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-2
1.8%
3-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).