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HCSV

25 Feb 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.0%
Umraniyespor
30.1%
Draw
37.8%
Gaziantep

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Umraniyespor

vs
1.55

Gaziantep

Markets

BTTS62.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
1-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).