Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Tenerife
31.6%
Draw
25.0%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Tenerife
vs
0.74
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).