Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.0%
AFC Wimbledon
23.3%
Draw
20.8%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
AFC Wimbledon
vs
0.83
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).