Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Mainz
27.1%
Draw
22.2%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Mainz
vs
0.96
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).