Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Boavista
28.8%
Draw
48.4%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Boavista
vs
1.43
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).