Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Ternana
28.1%
Draw
25.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Ternana
vs
1.07
Crotone
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).