Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Liverpool
27.7%
Draw
23.5%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Liverpool
vs
1.09
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).