Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.0%
Dender
20.3%
Draw
71.8%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Dender
vs
1.91
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-2
16.8%
0-3
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-1
2.0%
0-5
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).