Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.4%
Norwich
12.0%
Draw
84.5%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Norwich
vs
2.83
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.4%
0-3
13.6%
0-4
9.7%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
5.7%
0-5
5.5%
1-4
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).