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Parma

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vs

10 May 2026 · 00:00

Roma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.7%
Parma
27.1%
Draw
57.2%
Roma

Expected Goals (xG)

0.59

Parma

vs
1.40

Roma

Markets

BTTS33.2%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.4%
0-0
13.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
2-0
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).