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16 Dec 2020 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Gent
25.0%
Draw
24.2%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Gent

vs
1.13

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).