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30 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Blackburn
30.6%
Draw
40.6%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Blackburn

vs
1.25

Norwich

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).