Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Barnet
24.5%
Draw
17.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Barnet
vs
0.73
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).