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AHT: 01CSV

20 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Morton
25.5%
Draw
57.7%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Morton

vs
1.88

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS53.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
7.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.1%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).