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02 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.3%
Millwall
19.9%
Draw
8.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Millwall

vs
0.61

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS40.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
1-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).