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AHT: 01CSV

12 Sept 2022 · 20:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Vizela
19.3%
Draw
55.2%
Estoril

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Vizela

vs
2.27

Estoril

Markets

BTTS69.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.6%
Over 3.552.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
8.9%
1-1
7.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-3
5.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.8%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).