Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Eibar
30.8%
Draw
28.2%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Eibar
vs
0.89
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS40.4%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
13.4%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).