Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Birmingham
31.2%
Draw
25.3%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Birmingham
vs
0.89
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
13.6%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).