Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.0%
Airdrie Utd
36.4%
Draw
36.6%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Airdrie Utd
vs
1.01
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.8%
1-1
15.4%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).