Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Reggiana
25.7%
Draw
55.7%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Reggiana
vs
1.75
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).