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22 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.4%
Como
26.8%
Draw
18.8%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Como

vs
0.88

Trapani

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
3-0
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).