Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.8%
Ross County
25.7%
Draw
58.5%
Motherwell
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Ross County
vs
1.63
Motherwell
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).