Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Millwall
26.5%
Draw
24.5%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Millwall
vs
1.10
Hull
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).