Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.3%
Guingamp
26.8%
Draw
23.0%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Guingamp
vs
0.76
Bastia
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).