Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Blackburn
30.5%
Draw
22.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Blackburn
vs
0.84
Reading
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
12.6%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).