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08 Oct 2019 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Halifax
31.7%
Draw
28.3%
Chorley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Halifax

vs
0.95

Chorley

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).