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DHT: 10

25 Jul 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Arka Gdynia
26.0%
Draw
41.1%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Arka Gdynia

vs
1.60

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).