Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Numancia
27.6%
Draw
22.3%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Numancia
vs
0.81
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).