Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Benevento
33.2%
Draw
32.8%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Benevento
vs
1.01
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS42.1%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).