Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Kelty Hearts
31.4%
Draw
16.4%
Stranraer
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Kelty Hearts
vs
0.71
Stranraer
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
14.1%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).