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AHT: 10CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.1%
Oldham
21.5%
Draw
13.5%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

2.08

Oldham

vs
0.85

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).