Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →0.7%
Boreham Wood
2.7%
Draw
96.6%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35
Boreham Wood
vs
4.43
Burton
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.595.1%
Over 2.585.5%
Over 3.570.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
13.5%
0-3
12.2%
0-5
12.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-4
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
1-5
4.2%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
1-1
1.3%
2-4
0.8%
0-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).