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16 Dec 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.6%
RWD Molenbeek
17.9%
Draw
68.5%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

RWD Molenbeek

vs
2.52

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.3%
Over 3.548.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
0-3
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
5.0%
0-4
4.7%
2-3
4.2%
2-1
4.0%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).