Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
Leeds
27.6%
Draw
33.0%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Leeds
vs
1.40
Fulham
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).