Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.2%
Cardiff
25.5%
Draw
59.4%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Cardiff
vs
1.68
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).