Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.3%
Sp Gijon
19.4%
Draw
14.4%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Sp Gijon
vs
0.87
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS50.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).