Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Celta
22.8%
Draw
16.2%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Celta
vs
0.85
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.2%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).