Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
28.4%
Draw
50.1%
Newcastle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.59
Newcastle
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).