Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.3%
Amorebieta
26.8%
Draw
42.9%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Amorebieta
vs
1.35
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).