Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Santander
19.7%
Draw
19.7%
Sociedad B
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Santander
vs
1.19
Sociedad B
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
3-2
4.3%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).