Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
Schalke 04
20.3%
Draw
63.0%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Schalke 04
vs
2.27
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
0-3
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-3
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
0-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).