Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Shrewsbury
24.0%
Draw
56.6%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Shrewsbury
vs
1.60
Notts County
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).