Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.2%
Benfica
5.6%
Draw
1.3%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
3.60
Benfica
vs
0.35
AVS
Markets
BTTS29.2%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.9%
4-0
13.4%
2-0
12.4%
5-0
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-1
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
5-1
3.4%
1-1
2.6%
0-0
2.1%
3-2
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).