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16 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.4%
Evesham United
20.2%
Draw
32.4%
Club Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Evesham United

vs
1.74

Club Brugge

Markets

BTTS72.5%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
3-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
0-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).