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AHT: 00CSV

28 Jan 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Rodez
21.4%
Draw
36.1%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Rodez

vs
1.56

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS63.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
2-3
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).